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World Cup host nation Brazil look set to continue their unbeaten run on home soil when they face Mexico

Tuesday 17th June 2014
Brazil are back in action on Tuesday when they take on Group A rivals Mexico at the Estadio Castelao in Fortaleza (BBC, 8pm BST). Jack Kiston takes a look at what we can expect from the encounter.

Both teams enjoyed winning starts to their respective 2014 World Cup campaigns, with Brazil recovering from a goal down to beat Croatia 3-1 in the tournament opener, while Mexico recorded a narrow 1-0 victory over Cameroon. The duo now lock horns knowing that the winner will have one boot in the knockout-stages.

Brazil are currently on a staggering 38 match unbeaten run on home soil, while they have won their last 10 consecutive games. It therefore comes as no surprise to see the hosts installed as the hot 3/10 favourites with most bookmakers to take their tally to six points for the tournament. Meanwhile Mexico, who have a surprisingly good record against the South American giants, are a long shot at 10/1 to grab the spoils and stun the hosts, whereas a draw can be found at 5/1.

The Seleção have won all three of their previous World Cup encounters with Mexico, while they came out on top 2-0 in the last clash between the sides at the Confederations Cup last year. A repeat scoreline on Tuesday looks decent value at 13/2 with Betfred, whereas a 3-0 victory is priced at 9/1. Both teams to score can be found at evens, but a Brazil win with each side finding the back of the net appears more likely at 2/1, with a 3-1 outcome tempting at 11/1.

However, it is worth bearing in mind that Mexico have remarkably won seven of the last 13 meetings between the countries (W7 D2 L4), while they also beat Brazil 2-1 in the Olympic Final two years ago. El Tri head into Tuesday's match on the back of three victories from their last three competitive matches, although two of those games were against minnows New Zealand in the play-offs.

Miguel Herrera's men undoubtedly face a difficult task of usurping Brazil in their own back yard, especially considering that the five times world champions have only lost one of their last 34 group stages at the World Cup. Mexico's one and only victory in Brazil was a 2-1 friendly that dates way back to 1968, and while another victory seems unlikely stranger things have happened. With that in mind the visitors are available at 11/1 to win by exactly 1-0, while a score draw could be the way to go at 5/1 (both with Paddy Power).

The match has the potential to be a high-scoring affair. Brazil's attack, which needs no introduction, has all the tools to run riot on Tuesday against a Mexican defence that has the frustrating knack of switching off at pivotal moments. Herrera's troops may have kept a clean sheet against Cameroon last week but on Tuesday they face a huge step up in quality, with Brazil netting 13 goals in their last four games.

In his World Cup debut Neymar bagged a brace to take his tally to a stunning 33 goals in 50 games for his country. The 22-year-old, who was well backed in the Golden Boot market, once again heads the first goalscorer market at 7/2 with Bet365, while he has slightly longer odds of 4/1 to open the scoring against the Mexicans for the second time in a row. Brazil are by no means a one man team and it is definitely worth checking out the likes of Fred, Hulk and playmaker Oscar to net anytime at 21/10, 15/8 and 5/2 respectively.

Similarly Mexico can be frightening on the break with their rapid pace, intelligent movement and silky skill combining to great effect. The man to look out for is Oribe Peralta who has netted nine goals in his last seven competitive appearances for country, including the winner against Cameroon.

Peralta, who also notched a brace in the Olympic Final two years ago, can be found at 12/1 to open the scoring once again, while strike-partner Giovani Dos Santos is available at 11/2 to get his name on the scoresheet, having had two goals incorrectly ruled out against Cameroon.

Brazil v Mexico Tips

Tip #1: Brazil to win and BTTS @ 2/1 with Sky Bet

Tip #2: Neymar to score 2 or more goals @ 4/1 with Bet365

Tip #3: Brazil to win 3-1 @ 11/1 with Bet Victor

Tip #4: BTTS @ evens with Betfred

Tip #5: First goal to be scored up to and including the 23rd minute @ 10/11 with Paddy Power
Jack Kitson
Massive Southampton fan, loving being back in the Premier League but cannot get enough football to feed my addiction.

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